The Cook Political Report — which analyzes elections and is very careful about saying someone is ahead in a state — has shifted North Carolina from "Leans Republican" to toss-up and has moved Minnesota and New Hampshire to "Likely Democrat." This is still a close, either-person-could-win race. Ed Kilgore has a good article up about how not to read the polls.
And here's Mark A. Caputo with an interesting piece of how Trump is attempting to tiptoe through the minefield that is the Abortion issue. Personally, I think anyone who thinks that Trump has a moral position on the matter — or if elected, will do what he said before the election — is kidding themselves. I think he's a one-issue candidate and that one issue is him getting back into the White House.
So the Trump and Harris campaigns have agreed that the candidates will debate on ABC on September 10th, right? Well, maybe. As Steve Benen explains, that's not as much of a done deal as some news sources are suggesting. It's sounding more and more like Trump is afraid to debate her but doesn't want to be accused of being afraid to debate her. Stay tuned.