At the moment, Hillary Clinton is ahead by ten or more points in enough states to ensure a victory in the Electoral College. She's ahead in enough states to rack up somewhere between 318 and 361 votes if she wins everywhere she's ahead by more than two but if you just look at states where she's in double digits, that's 273 — and it only takes 270.
One assumes her lead will not last. Trump has an awful lot of money to spend on TV commercials — he hasn't spent any yet on them — and there seems to be no limit on how dirty this election can get. Then again, her lead could last. I think some of his more hysterical charges against Clinton have hurt him more than helped — a lesson which, if true, will not be learned.
I wonder how many minds out there are changeable, no matter what new scandal is alleged. I also wonder what happens if Trump chickens out on the debates…or shows up for at least one and gets clobbered. I can imagine him beating her with sheer invective but not by looking presidential and in control of the facts. I can also imagine her smacking him down by not flinging feces and by pointing out how little his economic plan will do for the non-wealthy folks who support him.
86 days until this is over except for the part where everyone who loses charges election fraud.