Ms. Harris and Mr. Walz are up a teensy bit more today in most polls. The single exception seems to be the Rasmussen Poll and in March of the last presidential election, I wrote this here…
The Rasmussen Poll usually favors Republicans and it's now saying Trump's popularity is fairly high. No doubt he thinks that's the only one that matters…and will until it tells him something he doesn't like.
There are all these "aggregator pollsters" out there that don't actually poll voters. Instead, they take polls by the folks who do and weight them and average them together to arrive at numbers that are theoretically more on-target than any one of the polls they're aggregating. I think if you were to do an aggregate of all the aggregate pollsters, you'd find that Harris/Walz is around three points ahead of Trump/Vance and is either ahead of Trump or quite competitive in the swing states that will decide this thing.
The Trump campaign is pouring a lot of time and money into those swing states but they're putting the most of those two assets trying to lasso Pennsylvania's 19 electoral votes. There are a number of different paths to 270 for Harris/Walz but the likeliest of these require Pennsylvania. I am kinda glad I don't live in a swing state.
Meanwhile, a group called Cartoonists for Kamala is arranging a big fund-raising drive and my partner Sergio Aragonés has done this drawing. I'll let you know where and when you can bid on it and other goodies.
Click on the pic to make it larger.Finally for now: It intrigues me that they're spending money on ads to run on TV stations viewable in Palm Beach County, Florida — where Trump's Mar-a-Lago resort is. Florida might (slight might) become a competitive state but right now, Trump's ad buyers have more urgent places to spend their money. Apparently, these ads are because Trump, when he's in town, wants to be able to see his ads when he turns on the TV and there are also wealthy Trump donors in that area who might be inspired to donate more if they see such ads.
Maybe. I have to wonder how much this had to do with the fact that George Conway's Anti-Psychopath PAC is running commercials in that area saying that Trump is mentally unbalanced. Conway's goal is to drive Trump even further over the edge and you have to wonder if the Trump commercial buy in that market isn't evidence that it's working.