I received a few e-mails like this one from my buddy, Nat Gertler…
Your response to Thomas's question of "Hillary is beating him by 20 points. Do you really think he has a chance at the nomination?" could've had a much
simpler answer:CBS news poll, October 2007: Clinton is leading Obama by 28 points. In retrospect, we can safely say that yes, Obama had a chance.
Yeah, and I sure didn't say Sanders didn't have a chance. I don't know. My main "prediction" through all of this has been that with so much time to go before the election, a lot of things will happen that will alter the dynamic and change the game. As many have noted, we aren't yet even into the year when the voting will take place. Today, we don't know if Joe Biden will be a candidate by the end of this week. If he is, that's going to make a lot of today's "conventional wisdom" obsolete.
I admit to a certain skepticism that enough of America will vote for a guy who cops to being a "Socialist." The "Democratic" part won't matter to a lot of them. Then again, there was a time not so long ago when I thought it would be another decade or two before enough of this country was ready to vote for a president who wasn't a white male. I think we're in that frequent political situation where it's too early to make a lot of predictions but that's not stopping anyone.