On Tuesday, Fox News is going to announce which candidates will take the stage in their debate. It's supposed to be the top ten as determined by some sort of averaging of five unspecified polls. In other words, Roger Ailes is going to decide which ten people he wants to have up there and then the Fox research team is going to figure out which polls and how you average them to get to those ten. Apparently, if two or more people are tied for the tenth spot, there will be more than ten.
Harry Enten has been trying to figure out who'll make the cut…or who would if they did it fairly. He says Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump and Scott Walker are pretty certain to be up there. Then Chris Christie, John Kasich, Rick Perry and Rick Santorum are fighting for the last two positions. That leaves Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Bobby Jindal and George Pataki all eating and debating at the children's table. I still think that if Stephen Colbert had entered the race, he'd now be polling high enough to guarantee him a podium.