A lot of folks seem to think that we're about to get two announcements of major Supreme Court decisions, possibly one tomorrow and the other the following Monday. One may be a victory or defeat for Gay Marriage. The other may be a victory or defeat for Affirmative Action. About all it's possible to predict is that two or three justices are solidly on each side in both cases and that there are one, perhaps two "swing votes" that will decide each issue. Remember when the Supreme Court decided the important stuff 8-1? Or even 9-0?
Beyond that, SCOTUS watchers have had a pretty bad track record lately predicting the swingers so I'm ignoring them. I'm also going to ignore CNN, which has gotten the last few major verdicts wrong after they were announced.
The decision on Gay Marriage, whatever it is, won't stop that movement. Might slow it down but won't stop it. A recent poll in California now shows a 22-point gap with residents of the state supporting letting gays marry by a margin of 58% to 36%. That's wide enough that if it ever came to another ballot, the opposition would probably just toss in the terrycloth. Heck, by the time it could be put to another vote, it might gain another ten points. That's about how fast opinion has moved on this issue. It's moving that way in most states.