What Can Browne Do For You?

Superstar Psychic Sylvia Browne claims an accuracy rate in her "readings" of around 85%-90%. While some of her predictions are too vague to be verifiable, a lot of them are. Researchers Ryan Shaffer and Agatha Jadwiszczok itemized 115 predictions (all they could find) that Ms. Browne had made about missing persons and murder cases and then they checked to see how many of them had been accurate.

90 of the 115 are either open or unconfirmable cases. That is, there has been no disposition or evidence that would show whether Browne was right or wrong. Of the remaining 25, her predictions have proven to be wrong in…well, wait a second. Let me go back to the article and see how many of those readings turned out to be correct. Even though I don't believe in this kind of thing, you figure that just making wild guesses, a person would be right once in a while.

Okay, I just checked what these researchers wrote and according to them, the number of times Browne was right in those 25 cases is zero. Wrong every time. If you want to look for yourself, here's the link. They quote the prediction and then they cite a news source for the actual outcome.

The sad part is that this won't matter to most of the people who seek out Sylvia Browne's aid and pay her what are often large sums of money for this kind of "advice." It won't even stop Larry King from having her on his show and drumming up more customers for her.

Go Read It!

Hey, remember Julia Sweeney, who was so wonderful on Saturday Night Live for several seasons? I saw her in a one-woman show a few years after that and she was quite amazing (in a good way) in that, too. So whatever happened to her? My pal Bruce Reznick sent me this link that'll clue you in. (The article is, by the way, by Mary Schmich, who writes the Brenda Starr newspaper strip. Not that that's relevant but I like to notice that kind of thing.)

Unrecommended Reading

Last night, I read this piece in Vanity Fair about the scandal/crime involving David Letterman and an alleged extortionist. I don't know the facts of the case…and I also don't know that I (or you) have any particular right to know the facts of this case. But the article itself certainly felt to me about as sleazy as anything that Letterman or his supposed blackmailer were involved in. So I decided not to post the link even to tell you that I would not recommend taking at face value what you may find at the other end of the link.

I'm in a different mood this afternoon and maybe I'll regret it…but there it is. The whole tone of the piece makes me not believe it's giving us the true picture, just the juiciest one. Perhaps your reaction will differ.

Doing Nothing…Nothing Doing

One of my long-standing pet peeves is what I call Plans Without Action. I could cite many examples but I'm thinking now of a producer I worked for years ago who liked to chair big staff meetings with everyone crowded around the conference table. We'd have a problem — say, too much money being spent on donuts. And we'd argue about the problem, discuss various ways of tackling the problem, propose and debate various solutions, etc. These meetings would always go on for much, much longer than the dilemma deserved…to the point where I'd always suggest we needed a staff meeting to discuss how to cut down on staff meetings. But at some point, having figured out a number of constructive ways to solve The Great Donut Spending Crisis, we'd adjourn…

…and then no one would do anything.

No one would get around to doing anything we'd discussed. None of the solutions would be implemented. The show would continue to spend just as much on donuts as it ever had. But somehow, everyone would feel good that they'd put in some hours and energy on the problem. And if I or someone said, "Hey, this problem still exists," the response would be, "Hey, we had a three-hour meeting and came up with a number of good solutions."

Somehow, that felt better…made folks feel like they weren't so helpless in the face of the problem, I guess. But I used to argue that having the meeting and not acting on its recommendations was basically the same thing as never doing anything. In some ways, it was worse. It's a lot quicker and easier to just do nothing than to have a three-hour meeting and then do nothing. I also think that having the meeting created the illusion that something was being done…and sometimes, such illusions get in the way of actual problem-solving.

I'm starting to feel that way when someone says, "The government needs to spend less" and then doesn't specify what should be cut. Fine. The government needs to spend less. We all agree. And the air should be cleaner and unemployment should be lower and all the good-tasting foods shouldn't be high in calories. But to me, saying the government needs to spend less is a Plan Without Action. It feels like doing something but isn't.

I keep reading articles and op-eds where folks say the beast has gotten too large. It's immense and it's growing larger and any day now, it's going to step on us all and grind us into oblivion. And then they either offer no way to make the beast smaller or, at most, suggest trimming its toenails.

Sometimes, when you offer a minuscule solution to a huge dilemma, you're off to a good start and, hey, you gotta start somewhere. But sometimes, the minuscule solution is another one of those "Let's pretend we're solving the problem" things.

I have no solution to any of these challenges like cutting government spending. Hey, I'm doing well if I can cut what I spend on computer equipment by a few bucks a week. That's okay because, you know, I write cartoons and comic books and TV shows. Dealing with the national deficit is not up to me, which is great because I'm never going to do anything that will solve that crisis or anything of the sort. The one thing I'll say in my defense is that at least I'm honest enough to admit it.

More and more as I get older, I believe that pretending (or even intending) to do something and not doing anything is usually the same thing as not doing anything…or maybe even less. And about all we onlookers can do is to be able to tell the difference and not get them confused. And if we can do that, maybe we can spark someone into actually doing something.

Today's Video Link

An important word from Stan Lee…

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Coming Sooner Than You Think…

Four weeks from today, the wonderful WonderCon opens in San Francisco. Those of you who feel intimidated and overwhelmed by the annual Comic-Con International in San Diego would do well to check out WonderCon, which is kind of like Comic-Con Lite. The same skilled crew operates it but it's about a fourth as packed. (Last year, WonderCon drew 34,000 attendees whereas Comic-Con had somewhere between 125,000 and 140,000.)

I will be among its guests and in a stunning reversal of past precedent, I will be hosting panels. The schedule will be up soon but Colleen Doran has already announced that she and I and a couple other folks will be doing one on Creator Rights. And you can assume I'll be interviewing WonderCon guests like Murphy Anderson, Joe Kubert and Adam Kubert, and that I'll be sharing a stage with the famously infamous Sergio Aragonés. I'm also pleased to remind you that Stan and Hunter Freberg will be there. An awful lot of folks told me that meeting Stan at last year's Comic-Con was among the great thrills of their lives.

And it's not that long until Comic-Con International happens again. The new issue of the Comic-Con magazine is reaching mailboxes even as we speak. If it doesn't reach yours, you can read it online. And remember that the mad dash for hotel reservations commences Thursday, March 18. I am told it will be a lot better this year than it has been in years past. So you may not wind up sleeping in a Public Storage locker in El Cajon.

The Indisputable Leader of the Gang

topcat01

Our pal Peter Sanderson takes a look at that most effectual Top Cat. A lot of cartoon shows I enjoyed as a youth don't hold up well when viewed today. For instance, I loved all the Woody Woodpecker cartoons when I was nine and today, there are about eight of them I can watch without pounding my head against a tree. But every so often when I catch a Top Cat, I'm delighted with how well they work.

The show only lasted one season in prime time, a fact Joe Barbera used to attribute to a theory that adults don't want to watch talking animals. I suspect there were just too many of them that season. In addition to Top Cat, the schedule also had The Bullwinkle Show, The Alvin Show, The Bugs Bunny Show and Calvin and the Colonel. (The Flintstones was also on that year but it was about funny cave people, not funny animals.) Also, Top Cat had an odd time slot. It was on at 8:30 following an hour of The Steve Allen Show and preceding the cop show, Hawaiian Eye. That wasn't a great place for kids to find it and if kids didn't, adults wouldn't, either.

When Top Cat left prime time, the same thirty episodes (that was how long a season was in '61) reran ad infinitum on Saturday morning and did quite well. In fact, when they finally started to peter out several years later, Hanna-Barbera almost engineered a deal to make some new ones to refresh the package. "Refresh" is programming exec talk for adding new episodes into a bunch of reruns. It never materialized but Joe Barbera spent a lot of time afterwards trying to find a way to bring T.C. and the gang back. They finally did a syndicated TV movie in 1987.

Anyway, Peter has some good thoughts on the show. Go take a peek.

Today's Video Link

A few weeks ago, we brought you a video of Ross Bagdasarian (aka David Seville) singing his 1958 hit record, "Witch Doctor." Here's a more modern rendition offered by a group called, for reasons that should be obvious, Cartoons…

Today's Media Rant

The folks at Fox News claim some sort of bright line of demarcation between their news shows and their opinion shows. Jon Stewart keeps demonstrating (in pieces like this one) that it's a distinction without much difference and that the news pushes the Fox agendum as forcefully as the opinion programming and often with interlocking language. In the meantime, a lot of newspapers today seem to think that fairness on the editorial page means you let some Liberal say anything he or she wants to say and you let some Conservative say anything he or she wants to say…and if someone lies or misquotes, hey, that's someone else's problem.

My understanding from back when I took Journalism classes is that, yes, it's Kosher for a news-gathering outlet to compartmentalize with a separate opinion section. But they're not supposed to be totally separate in that it reflects on the accuracy of the news division if something in the opinion section misstates facts. Let's say the governor lowered taxes 10%. I can write an op-ed that says he's a lousy governor but the newspaper has an obligation not to let me say, "That lousy governor raised taxes 20%." The newspaper may not endorse my (or any) viewpoint but it has an obligation to the historical record to maintain accuracy in every corner of the publication.

That seems to be going away in the news media of the day, with writers seeming entitled to not only their own opinions but to their own sets of facts. The editorial page of The Wall Street Journal is notorious for citing stats and reporting on events in ways that contradict the front page of that very same newspaper. We just had a real good example of this in the Washington Post. Senator Orrin Hatch wrote this piece about Health Care Reform. Columnist E.J. Dionne then wrote this piece that said, in effect, that Senator Hatch's article was wildly inaccurate and misleading.

Forget for the minute whether you want to see Health Care Reform pass or not. Also remember a core principle, which is that it is possible to write a dishonest, factually-challenged article in support of a good cause. (As a general rule of thumb, I don't respect the opinions of anyone who isn't willing to occasionally correct his own side, and not just when trapped into doing so.) At least one of these two essays — the one by Hatch or the one by Dionne — is full of this stuff. One of them misstates the facts of what's going on and misquotes people discussing it. Why was that piece published? Why did the Post let it go through?

I don't think "presenting both sides" is an explanation. It still means misinformation in a newspaper and newspapers aren't supposed to spread misinformation. Even on their editorial pages.

Recommended Reading

There's talk that Democrats will use the "reconciliation process" to push Health Care Reform through Congress by a simple majority. There's also talk that this is controversial, even though as Jamison Foser notes, no one thought that when Republicans used the same procedure. Not a single word against it in the so-called Liberal Media.

Today's Video Link

We'll return right after this commercial message. It's for Kellogg's Corn Flakes and it features the voices of Arnold Stang and Allen Jenkins in their roles from the Top Cat TV show…

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And She is Telling Me She's Not Going…

A few weeks ago, I posted the following here, addressed to folks who live in the Los Angeles area…

Anyone want to see Dreamgirls? Live? A snazzy (I hear) production of the show is playing downtown at the Ahmanson Theater from February 23 through April 4. I have season-type tix for March 23 and I don't want to use them. I know most people love this show but I don't. I would like to sell my tickets at face value to someone who does love the show. My seats are good — second row of the balcony near the center — and if March 23 doesn't work for you, I can probably exchange them for equally-fine seats on another date if it's late in the run. Drop me an e-mail if interested.

Five of you wrote in to say you wanted the tix. The first one got 'em but she now cannot use them. I let this lady off the hook, figuring I could sell them to one of the other four. Turns out the other four have all gone ahead and bought their own tickets so I have the same two seats still available. The price hasn't changed even though the show has opened to great reviews like this one. If interested, drop me a note…and this time, all sales final.

More on the Dangers of Reading

Remember Chris Handley, the fellow I mentioned here who was recently sentenced for possession of Manga comics that depicted imaginary people having imaginary underage sex? You might be interested in this letter from his attorney describing the problems of the case and why Handley accepted the outcome he accepted.

I certainly don't fault anyone facing prison time from making the deal they think will work best for them. We outsiders might like them to battle on for a principle and spend the next X years fighting it all the way to the Supreme Court…but we aren't the ones who might literally be sacrificing our lives for that cause. I also don't have a lot of faith in The System (and especially in the current Supreme Court) to arrive at a correct answer.

Note that the lawyer says, "Through its choice to create two crimes with vastly different sentences for the same conduct, Congress gave to the prosecution an invaluable tool (quite similar to extortion) in obtaining pleas." I think that's the part that really troubles me about this case and others like it; that the outcome is predicated not on what's right or even on what the law says is right but in the power of the threat. It's one thing to plead guilty because you actually are inarguably guilty. It's something else to be put in the position where to plea bargain spares you pain, to prove your innocence costs (or risks) too much…and whether you actually are innocent becomes largely irrelevant. I don't think that's fair to someone who's accused and I really don't think it's fair to the society that our justice system is supposed to serve.

Oscar Pix

Someone named Tom Chivers names The 10 worst injustices in Academy Award history. Not that any of these rank near the real injustices in this world.

I don't agree with a lot of these. F'rinstance, he thinks it's a crime that The French Connection beat out A Clockwork Orange in 1971 for Best Picture. I thought the former more deserving than the latter but I would have voted for Carnal Knowledge or The Hospital (which weren't nominated in that category) over either. And in hindsight, the film of that year that was probably the most influential wasn't nominated in any category. That was Dirty Harry.

Chivers also thinks Citizen Kane and Psycho should have won in their respective years. I'll give him Kane but I've never understood the fuss about Psycho.

There are a lot of these but I've also stopped expecting the Oscars to make a lot of sense. The more you know about voting procedures and who votes, the easier it is to come to that view.

Today's Video Link

Barry Mitchell, who does great interviews with folks I like, does one with Caroll Spinney, the man inside Big Bird and under Oscar the Grouch…