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I have no idea what to think of Barack Obama's Afghanistan plans. Part of me suspects he sat down one morning and asked his advisors, "Look, no matter what I do about anything, the Republicans are going to say it's a disastrous mistake. Let's come up with some plan to lose the Democrats and Independents, as well." And then another part of me decides, "Well, he's a smart guy and I guess he knows what I'm doing." But that second part of me is only about half-convinced.

I guess what scares me is that even Fred Kaplan, who knows more about this stuff than I ever will, isn't much more convinced. Click that link and read what he had to say about tonight's speech.