Wrong is Right

I want to quote this paragraph from the Zogby Poll website, just so I can link back to it easily in the future…

"We feel strongly that our pre-election polls were accurate on virtually every state. Our predictions on many of the key battleground states like Ohio and Florida were within the margin of error. I thought we captured a trend, but apparently that result didn't materialize. We always saw a close race, and a close race is what we've got. I've called this the Armageddon Election for some time — a closely-divided electorate with high partisan intensity on each side."

Okay, he's right about that last part. But if a pollster can say, "X will win big" and then X loses and the pollster is still to be considered accurate…well, then that poll wasn't good for much of anything, was it? A saner view would be that he called a lot of states for Kerry that were within the margin of error and so should not have been called for anyone.