Not that I don't think things can't change a lot but I've been eyeing the various "electoral breakdown" maps around the Internet. The two I check most often are this one (which skews a bit Liberal) and this one (which trends Conservative). [WARNING: If you check both, note that the former uses blue for Democrats and red for Republicans, whereas the latter is the opposite.] At this very moment, the Liberal site has Kerry at 280 and Bush at 258, whereas the Conservative count has Kerry at 296 and Bush at 206. Interestingly, that's with the Liberal site putting Florida's 27 electoral votes in the Bush column and the Conservative site putting them in Kerry's. That shows you how arguable some of the polls can be…and how no one can properly count Florida.