The Field Poll, which usually does a decent job of measuring opinions in California, finds a 25-point gap between those who approve of Gay Marriage and those who don't. A 25-point gap! That's especially significant because as far as I know, public sentiment has only ever moved in one direction on this issue. If you toss out margin-of-error fluctuation in polls, there has never been a case anywhere — California or elsewhere in the U.S. of A. — of support for Gay Marriage dropping.
So it's over in my state. I don't think the various court decisions are going to stop folks of like gender from getting legally hitched but even if they do, a statewide vote would make that happen. Just a matter of time. Then we can all speculate on how long the redder states can resist if New York, California and other blue ones have Gay Marriage and God doesn't send locusts and make it rain frogs.
I have a feeling that the "leaders" rallying their troops against it have known for a long time it was over; that they were not in a winnable battle. Certainly Bill Bennett was saying it years ago until (one suspects) others of his party got to him and told him to shut up about it. The issue still had value to them as a rallying cry to get right-wing voters to the polls and to donate money. It'll never completely go away. Heck, there are still people out there making very good livings promising to destroy Hillary Clinton if only you'll give them enough money. But at some point, Stopping Gay Marriage has to become such a lost cause and non-issue as to close that spigot down to a trickle. We may be closer to that point than it seems.